GitDealFlowsignals

Day 31 · System complete

You finished. The system is yours.

Thirty days. Seven atomic signals. Three real-pipeline candidates scored. A 10-org watchlist. A Monday rhythm. Alerts. A custom-weighted composite calibrated to your beat. An MCP integration that runs the whole thing from your editor. The next section is optional, three ways to scale the system if the manual cadence doesn’t fit anymore. Pick none of them and the system still works.

The 30 days, at a glance

1

Commit velocity

The simplest acceleration signal, 14-day vs 90-day ratio.

2

Contributor diversity

The bus-factor signal, Gini coefficient at month -3.

3

Dependents graph

The hidden GitHub page, cheapest external-adoption proxy.

4

README freshness

The cheapest leading indicator, a README rewrite is a pre-pitch.

5

New repo creation rate

The platform-buildout tell, SDKs, CLIs, demos shipping fast.

6

Issue-to-PR ratio

Engagement vs shipping, 1.5+ healthy, 0.7- firefighting.

7

The composite + the fast version

Six signals → one score → 350+ orgs in 4 seconds.

8

Pick three real candidates

Three orgs from your own pipeline, one boring, one obvious, one wildcard.

9

Score candidate #1 end-to-end

The boring one, six signals, 15 minutes, one composite.

10

Score candidate #2, the obvious one

The startup you already liked, does the framework agree?

11

Score candidate #3, the wildcard

The unread one, where the framework earns its keep.

12

Compare all three, which signal carried the read?

Three composites side by side, and the signal you almost skipped.

13

Calibration, score a known recently-funded org

Pick a Series A from last quarter. What did the composite say at month -3?

14

Week 2 wrap, your first scorecard

Three composites, one calibration, one personal heuristic. That's a real artifact.

15

Build a 10-org watchlist

Ten orgs, one sector, scored once, queued for weekly recheck.

16

Set the weekly Monday rhythm

25 minutes every Monday, before email, the cadence that compounds.

17

Sector batch, 25 orgs in 25 minutes

When a sector heats up, sweep it broad before going deep.

18

Score-driven founder questions

Five questions, each seeded by a signal, sharper than 'tell me about traction.'

19

Score one portfolio company retroactively

Pick the worst-performing investment. What did the composite say at term sheet?

20

30-second pre-read for first meetings

One glance at the composite before you walk in, and you're already ahead.

21

Week 3 wrap, your operational system

Watchlist + Monday rhythm + sector-batch + question library + pre-read.

22

Set alerts on score moves

When does a score change matter? When commit velocity flips by ≥0.4.

23

The anti-signal, when 6/6 is wrong

Some orgs game every signal. Building your false-positive list is week 4 work.

24

Co-investor share template

Score → paragraph → ask. Three lines, one Slack message, one new co-investor convert.

25

MCP integration, running the framework from your editor

Six tools, one MCP server, zero context-switching out of your IDE.

26

Custom composite weights

Default is 1×6. Your beat probably needs 2× on one signal and 0.5× on another.

27

30-day retrospective, what the framework caught

Four weeks. Three candidates. One calibration. Ten watchlist orgs. What's measurable?

28

The Sunday digest as continuous practice

After Day 30, the rhythm continues, five orgs every Sunday, one composite per week.

29

Pre-graduation, which rung makes sense?

Free, €49/mo, or €1,997, match the rung to the actual usage pattern from the last 30 days.

30

Graduation, the Stack Slide and one quiet decision

Thirty days. Six signals. One scorecard. One operational system. One decision.

Three optional next steps

Stacked from least to most committed. Compare the standalone retail value of each rung against its price, the founding rate on the Dashboard is locked for life and never re-priced retroactively.

Rung 0

Free Sunday Digest

Free, forever

Five named startups every Sunday, applied, not theoretical.

  • 5 named GitHub orgs surfacing this week, scored against the same 7-signal composite you just learned
  • 14-day acceleration delta + sector + stage tag for each
  • Direct GitHub URL, click through and run the manual exercise
  • Unsubscribe with a reply. No card, no upgrade pressure.
Subscribe (free)

Rung 1 · Most pick this

Dashboard

€49/mo

The 7-signal composite, computed continuously across 350+ startup orgs.

  • 140 venture-backed startups ranked by 14-day commit-velocity acceleration, refreshed every Monday at 06:00 UTC
  • Filter by sector, stage, geography
  • The 219-startup panel dataset, five quarters of historical signal-to-fundraise pairs
  • Two free Chrome extensions (Crunchbase + Wellfound badge; VC GitHub Lookup)
  • Free MCP server with 6 read-only tools (Claude, Cursor, Windsurf, any MCP host)
  • 30-day Signal-or-It's-Free guarantee, reply REFUND, no questions

Standalone retail value of the components: 1,431.

Upgrade to Dashboard

Rung 2

Custom Sector Sweep

€1,997 one-time

Pick one sector. We deliver the 40-page written deep-dive in 5 business days.

  • 40-page written deep-dive on the one sector you pick
  • Top 25 ranked GitHub orgs by 14-day acceleration
  • Three pre-Crunchbase breakouts named + thesis-tagged
  • Raw CSV (every org × every metric)
  • Async Q&A with the methodology team for 30 days post-delivery
  • Capped at 8 per quarter, bandwidth, not artificial scarcity

Standalone retail value of the components: 4,970.

Book a Sector Sweep

What if you pick none of these?

Then nothing changes. The seven emails are yours. The seven /challenge/[slug] permalinks stay live and indexed. The methodology is published CC BY 4.0 at ssrn.com/abstract=6606558 so you can re-derive every metric from public GitHub data indefinitely.

We charge for scale (the live engine across 350+ orgs and the custom Sector Sweep), not for the framework. If the manual version fits you, the manual version is genuinely the right answer.

One ask

If the Challenge worked for you, send the landing-page link to one other investor or analyst who’d use it.

That’s the entire ask. We don’t run an affiliate program, we don’t want incentives to distort whether someone tells a friend.

https://signals.gitdealflow.com/challenge

Challenge curriculum: /challenge · Methodology: /methodology · Paper: ssrn.com/abstract=6606558

Signed The Data Nerd · pseudonymous narrator · methodology over personality

🚀 Explore Our Network

21-47 days
Signal Lead Time (median 31d)
$80M+
Rounds Tracked
90 sec
Per Scan
5,000+
Founders Tracked

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