The 90-Second Walkthrough
The whole argument, in 250 words.
Reading time: 90 seconds. If you have five, the 5-minute version is here. Twelve minutes, the long-form is here.
Crunchbase tells you the day a startup raised. We tell you the day they started preparing, 21 to 47 days earlier: by reading their public GitHub.
Single SSRN-published panel, n=219, five quarters. Median 31-day lead time. Methodology open, dataset CC-BY-4.0.
Three objections, three sentences:
- “GitHub data is noise.” Two-period confirmation + contributor-quality filter, 8% false-positive rate, published.
- “The good orgs are private.” The 219-startup panel is venture-backed and 100% public-GitHub. Private repos aren’t needed for the signal to fire.
- “€49/mo is too cheap to be real.” We don’t have a sales team. This is priced for someone who wants earlier signal without an enterprise contract. Pricing matches the job.
What €49/mo unlocks:
- → Live dashboard, refreshed every Monday at 06:00 UTC.
- → 219-startup panel dataset, replicate the regression yourself.
- → Monthly sector deep-dive PDF, your sector.
- → 30-day Signal-or-It’s-Free guarantee. Reply REFUND.
The math:
€588 a year. The expected value of one missed seed name that 8×’s, at a €5k cheque, is €40,000. The price isn’t the cost. The deal you miss is.
Dashboard is €49/mo. Founding members who joined before 2026-06-30 keep €9.97 for life, that window is closed and is not coming back.
Trial close
If all this did was surface one name you would have missed in the next 12 months, would €588 be worth it?
30-day Signal-or-It’s-Free · No call · Reply REFUND
Want more depth? The 5-minute walkthrough adds the four named closes and a richer story. The 12-minute long-form adds the origin, the conversion-story, the encore, the FAQ.