GitDealFlowsignals
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The 5-Minute Walkthrough

GitDealFlow, the whole pitch, in 800 words.

Reading time: 5 min. In a hurry? The 90-second elevator is here. If you have 12, the long-form walkthrough is here.

Hook

Crunchbase tells you the day a startup raised. We tell you the day they started preparing, 21 to 47 days earlier, by reading their public GitHub.

Story (1 sentence)

In 2023 I passed on a dev-tool company because the deck looked weak; eleven months later they raised at a 9× valuation, and their public GitHub had been telling that story the whole time, five new repos, a 4× contributor expansion, a clean velocity curve I would have read in two minutes if I had known to look.

The core claim

If commit-velocity acceleration is the most leading public signal in venture capital, every other deal-flow source, pitch decks, AngelList, Crunchbase, warm intros, is a lagging indicator.

The whole investing thesis falls or stands on whether that single belief is true. Our SSRN paper (n=219, abstract=6606558) says it is.

One sentence. One falsifiable claim. Read it again. If it’s true, the rest of the page is a footnote, fair?

Three objections, collapsed

  1. “GitHub data is too noisy.” Two-period confirmation + contributor-quality filter cuts false-positives below 8%. The methodology is published.
  2. “The good orgs are private.” The 219-startup panel is venture-backed and 100% public-GitHub. Private repos are absent because they don’t need to be there for the signal to fire.
  3. “€49/mo is too cheap to be real.” We don’t have a sales team. This is priced for someone who wants earlier signal without an enterprise contract. Pricing matches the job.

The Stack, eight objects

  • → Live dashboard, refreshed every Monday at 06:00 UTC.
  • → 219-startup panel dataset, load it into any notebook, replicate the regression.
  • → Monthly sector deep-dive PDF, top 25 ranked, contributor maps, three breakout candidates.
  • → Two free Chrome extensions (Crunchbase / Wellfound badge + GitHub Lookup).
  • → The MCP server, six tools inside Claude / Cursor. Free forever.
  • → Async watchlist build, send your thesis, get the 10 highest-acceleration matches.
  • → Methodology vault, full SSRN preprint, signal definitions, regression code.
  • → 30-day Signal-or-It’s-Free guarantee.
Total standalone value€1,728/yr
Current rate€49/mo

€1,728 of standalone artefacts at €49/mo. If even half the stack reads as real, has the math already done itself?

Four closes, pick yours

Money

The price isn’t the cost. The deal you miss is. €588/yr vs €40k expected loss on one missed seed name.

Identity

You do not need a fund-sized stack. You need earlier signal, calmer timing, and something you can trust quickly.

Pricing

€1,728/yr stack, €588 current rate, locked while subscribed public launch hike to €49/mo.

Urgency

The window is the lead time, not the discount. 21-47 days before the deck. Every Monday skipped is one window closed.

Dashboard is €49/mo. Founding members who joined before 2026-06-30 keep €9.97 for life, that window is closed and is not coming back.

Trial close

If all this did was surface one name you would have missed in the next 12 months, would €588 be worth it?

30-day Signal-or-It’s-Free guarantee · No call · Reply REFUND

Even shorter? The 90-second elevator drops the four named closes and runs one money-close only. Need the long version? The full 12-minute walkthrough adds the origin story, the discovery moment, the conversion-story script, the encore close, and the FAQ. Same argument, more depth.

Signed The Data Nerd · pseudonymous narrator · methodology over personality

🚀 Explore Our Network

21-47 days
Signal Lead Time (median 31d)
$80M+
Rounds Tracked
90 sec
Per Scan
5,000+
Founders Tracked

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